Even small probabilities of infection for individuals compound to large probabilities for a large number of people. Carnival needs low risk passengers and screening to be near 100% effective to reduce ...

This is a preview. Log in through your library . Abstract We compared the time-of-detection and logistic regression methods of estimating probability of detection for northern bobwhite (Colinus ...

Robbins (1968) considered the problem of estimating the total probability of the unobserved outcomes of an experiment. In this paper we suggest an estimator, based on n trials, and show that under ...

Statisticians who study coincidences are fond of saying that ordinary people don’t know how to estimate the probabilities of coincidences. To illustrate our poor statistical thinking, statisticians ...

Women who are diagnosed with breast cancer at a young age, or at an advanced stage at any age, are more likely to die from the disease than from all other causes of death combined, according to a new ...